Bitcoin Price Prediction Revealed!

It’s only a matter of time before BTC reaches and breaches the $100,000 mark. Six whole figures for one single Bitcoin - what a time to be alive.

But, we in crypto don’t stand still: $100k is but a stop along the road, albeit a hugely significant one. Everyone naturally wants to know where BTC will go after this milestone passes. Will it retrace as HODLers finally take profits, or will it accelerate towards Valhalla as retail and institutional FOMO really start to kick in?

Making predictions about where BTC’s price might go has become an industry in its own right, as all manner of wise heads crunch the numbers and read the runes trying to figure out that magical market top. Naturally, they range from bearish to bullish to ballistic and most of them will end up being wrong. But, the reasoning behind these predictions is generally more instructive than the figure arrived at. Showing their working is often the most important part of the exercise.

In today’s video, we look at some recent BTC price predictions, made by folks whose reasoning is worth listening to. We examine how these predictions are playing out so far and whether they might be realistic. Plus, we ask the all-important question: is the sky the limit this time around?

You can watch that video here.

📈 Crypto Market Forecast 📈

It’s going to be a sunny week for crypto. For starters, there are strong seasonal effects that could support the crypto market throughout all of December and even into early January. According to macro analyst Cem Karsan, these seasonal factors are simply due to structural factors such as large options expiry dates, with December 20th and 31st being two to watch out for.

Another structural factor that everyone forgets about is leverage, specifically borrowing against assets to buy more assets. Logically, as the prices of assets rise, the more investors will borrow against these assets to buy more assets. This effect is starting to show in Ethereum’s ecosystem, where a rise in ETH prices is resulting in lots of leverage, seen in Aave’s all-time high in TVL.

Obviously, this suggests that Ethereum whales are borrowing against their ETH, presumably to invest in altcoins, or even to increase their exposure to ETH. Everyone forgets this factor, just because it’s not something the average retail investor thinks about. If you’re a BTC or ETH whale, you don’t ‘rotate’ into altcoins by selling your BTC or ETH - you rotate by borrowing against it!

As in stocks, this structural factor in crypto is creating a positive feedback loop - ETH’s price rises, so people borrow more against ETH to speculate on altcoins, especially in Ethereum’s ecosystem. This causes ETH’s price to rise further because most altcoins on Ethereum trade against ETH. This results in more borrowing, and so on. Watch DeFi TVL closely this week.

In case that didn’t make it clear enough, altcoin season is starting, and some would argue that it began the moment Trump won the November election. The result is that new crypto projects have been launching tokens left and right. There are literally dozens of token generation events or TGEs coming up over the next few weeks. You can find a short list of them here.

In terms of crypto-specific factors, the biggest ones to watch are related to crypto regulations under Trump in 2025. At the time of sending this newsletter, we still don’t have confirmation on who the next SEC chair will be when Gary Gensler steps down in January. Now Trump reportedly wants the CFTC to have authority over crypto, but he hasn’t revealed his pick there either.

We reckon this is a reflection of the intense conversations that are reportedly going on behind the scenes between the incoming Trump administration and key players in the crypto industry. The outcome of these discussions could have profound effects on the crypto market. Consider that the CFTC would not require the same kind of disclosures that the SEC would from crypto projects.

On the macro front meanwhile, the biggest factor to watch is the unemployment figure for November, which will be published on Friday. We’re at that awkward stage in the cycle where an unemployment rate that’s too high could trigger recession fears, and an unemployment rate that’s too low could trigger inflation fears. Neither of the two would be ideal for the markets; a neutral print would be though.

Another macro factor to look out for is a potential resolution to the ongoing wars in the Middle East and Eastern Europe, or at least a pause in the fighting. As you may have heard, Israel and Hezbollah agreed to a ceasefire in Lebanon last week. At the time of writing, it looks like this ceasefire deal is on shaky ground, but global powers continue to push for a pause.

Believe it or not, but we could also see a ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia in the coming weeks too. This is for many reasons, but mostly because new polls suggest most Ukrainians want the war to end, even if it means giving up territory to Russia. Trump mentioned many times on the campaign trail that he’d try to resolve the conflict before taking office in 2025.

In sum, it looks like there’s a lot to look forward to in December, and even into January. Just don’t ask what happens after January - we’ll cross that bridge when we come to it…

🤖 AI Agent Recap 🤖

Ladies and gentlemen, the AI Singularity could be on the horizon.

The ‘AI agent’ ecosystem in crypto has made another quantum leap in growth over the past few weeks. A lot has happened, especially for AI agent projects building on Base.

First, the Virtuals Protocol on Base went parabolic – both in popularity and price. The price of $VIRTUAL has grown 118% over the past seven days and 216% in the past month.

This is largely because Virtuals has some of the best tech in the ecosystem to help creators launch AI agents and tokens. This is especially true since the Virtuals team announced the launch of a pump.fun-style platform for launching tokenised AI agents earlier this month. The market priced this announcement as ‘bullish’ for $VIRTUAL since all purchases on the platform are made with the token. Virtuals also managed to differentiate themselves from pump.fun by gamifying the launch of AI agents on the platform through the introduction of mechanics that unlock new functionality for AI agents at specific market cap milestones. Traders are now treating $VIRTUAL as the de facto beta play to betting on the future growth of the AI agent narrative.

On that note, there are quite a few AI agents on Virtuals that seem to be commanding most of the attention within the ecosystem. The most notable of which currently include AIXBT, VaderAI, and SEKOIA.

AIXBT is an AI agent that posts insightful analyses of the crypto markets on X. A look at cookie.fun (AI agent index), shows that AIXBT is at the top of the leaderboard (in terms of attention) with over 16% of all mindshare in the ecosystem. Notably, this is almost 3 times the mindshare currently held by $GOAT (the first-mover leader of AI memes).

As for VaderAI, it’s an AI agent token that was launched by VaderResearch on Virtuals. Functionally, the VaderAI token is intended to serve as an AI Agent investment DAO manager. This is sort of similar to the ai16z project on Solana that went viral a few weeks ago. VaderResearch claims he wants VaderAI to be the BlackRock of AI Agent investment fund DAOs.

SEKOIA meanwhile is an AI agent that’s similar to VaderAI. It seeks to act as a venture capital fund that invests in early-stage projects. The project has gained quite a lot of traction after being publicly backed by Anand Iyer, a partner at Canonical VC and Lightspeed Ventures.

But, price appreciation and early investments in promising AI agents aren’t the only way traders on the Virtuals protocol have made money. In fact, just earlier this week, wallets that traded at least 5 $VIRTUAL tokens via the Virtuals Protocol interface received a decent airdrop (worth $300) of $MUSIC tokens. For context, $MUSIC is the first project to be launched by Agent Starter – an AI Agent launchpad by the Virtuals Protocol team. Agent Starter is expected to provide essential funding, development support, and distribution resources to creators who are part of its platform.

At this point, it may seem like the Virtuals ecosystem is single-handedly driving the AI agent narrative on Base. However, a closer look will show that there’s quite some activity on Farcaster as well. If you didn’t know, Farcaster is a decentralised social media protocol building on top of Base.

On that note, Aether – an AI agent on Farcaster - made headlines a couple of weeks back when it managed to create a memecoin without permission from the bot’s creator. This was a big deal since the bot had previously relied on its creator to help facilitate other on-chain interactions on platforms like Zora. The culprit behind its newborn autonomy was Clanker – a pump.fun style platform that lets anyone launch a token by casting (posting) a ticker on Farcaster. This offers a real glimpse of how we’re unintendedly creating rails for an agentic economy.

That said, while all the tech for an agentic economy seems to be on Base, the trading volume for AI Agent tokens is still concentrated on Solana. One case in point is the rising popularity of vvaifu – a clone of Virtuals Fun on Solana. A look at cookie.fun will show that VVAIFU currently ranks within the top 10 on the leaderboard of top tokens by mindshare in the AI Agent ecosystem. A couple of weeks ago, $VVAIFU managed to pull a massive rally that saw it hit a market cap of $200 million before correcting down to its current $100M range.

That said, its recent correction is in part due to FUD coming from its association with ai16z - another AI agent project on Solana. For context, ai16z got into trouble earlier this week over a mixup (and shady behaviour) of a new AI agent coin called Eliza. You see, the ai16z team had announced the launch of a new framework called ‘Eliza’ for creating AI agents with multi-model features and app integrations.

Following the announcement, someone from the ai16z community created a memecoin with the $eliza ticker using the vvaifu platform. This token creation appeared to be supported by Shaw and the whole ai16z community began to pump its price - until Shaw made another $ELIZA token a few days later on pump.fun. Many saw this move as super shady and the prices of tokens associated with the project have cratered since.

As we said before, a lot can happen in just a few days. This isn’t for the faint-hearted.

That said, it has become increasingly clear that this is just the first leg of a much larger and more serious narrative emerging with crypto – the agentic economy. We predict that, over the course of the next few months, the amount of attention given to AI agents and protocols facilitating their creation will increase exponentially. As Jared Hecht notes in his recent analysis of the intersection between crypto and AI agents, “we are rapidly ushering in a new paradigm of product-bot fit, a world in which we build infrastructure and applications to be used by agents instead of humans.”

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🔮 Video Pipeline 🔮

* ETH Bull Case: Here’s what you need to know!
* Aptos: Growth potential and position in today’s market!
* Wrapped Bitcoin: What role does it play in Defi & how can it drive BTC and alt markets?
* Binance AI: What are AI agents in crypto and what is their potential?
* Coin Bureau Portfolio: What our team is holding & what their strategy is?

🏆 What's New at CoinBureau.com This Week? 🏆

* Crypto Staking and Mining Compared
* The Best Crypto Wallets For Experienced Traders
* CeFi, DeFi, and TradFi Uncovered
* Private And Public Key Wallets Compared

📖 Quote of the Week 📖

Even as Bitcoin approaches $100k, no-coiners ask the most common question of all: “is now too late to buy?” Well, if the alternative is holding fiat currency, it’s never too late.

"The best time to plant a tree was 20 years ago. The second-best time is now." - Chinese Proverb

Team Coin Bureau

Disclosure: Authors may own cryptoassets named in this newsletter. These are unqualified opinions, and a Coin Bureau newsletter, is meant for informational purposes only. It is not meant to serve as investment advice. Please consult with your investment, tax, or legal advisor.