Washington Paralyzed, XRP in the Spotlight and the Robots Are Coming!

It’s been another tough week for crypto, with BTC trading mostly sideways and altcoins (with some exceptions) continuing to grind lower. Perhaps it has something to do with the shutters being down on Capitol Hill…

Today’s forward guidance looks at what an end to the US government shutdown could eventually come and what it would likely mean for the crypto market. There’s also the ongoing tariffs case being heard by the Supreme Court, which, if it goes against the administration, could likewise be big news for all markets.

And we also take a dive into the robotics narrative that has seen at least some cryptos outperform the rest of the market over the last week. With the NEO household droid drawing its fair share of scorn following its recent unveiling, we’re still some way off from having robots doing our chores, but the crypto x robotics sector is arguably one to watch for the long term.

🤔 XRP Update 🤔

Retail favourite XRP has been suffering along with the rest of the crypto market, but the fundamentals tell a different story. Behind the scenes, Ripple is making some big moves.

The company has spent almost $4B on acquisitions, a new EVM-compatible sidechain for the XRPL has over 80 projects building on it, spot XRP ETFs are on the horizon and much more besides. This is a project that’s betting big on a bright future.

In today’s video, we examine everything that Ripple is up to, what it means for the ecosystem and of course for XRP itself. We also look at the challenges that still face the project and what it needs to do to ensure future success.

You can watch that video here.

📈 Crypto Market Forecast 📈

November is off to a bad start, but there is a silver lining. Since July 2024, the low for each month for Bitcoin has happened in the first 10 days of the month. Assuming this peculiar trend continues, then the worst of this month’s price action should be over for Bitcoin and the crypto market more broadly. This makes sense given the catalysts likely to occur later in the month.

In case you missed the news, the US government shutdown is expected to end sometime later this month, with predictions markets currently pricing in an end date of November 15th. The US government shutdown ending should result in multiple macro catalysts like delayed economic data being released, and multiple crypto catalysts like spot altcoin ETF approvals.

More importantly, the government shutdown ending should provide a boost to global liquidity, and this will happen in three ways. The first will be the effect it has on the US dollar. After the last two shutdowns in 2013 and 2018-2019, the dollar fell sharply. What’s interesting is that the DXY fell a bit last week, but this was likely due to the ongoing tariff case.

In any case, the second way that the US government shutdown ending will boost global liquidity is by making it possible for the Treasury Department to start spending money from the Treasury General Account or TGA, AKA the US government’s bank account at the Fed. The TGA balance is now close to $1 trillion, with hundreds of billions likely to be spent at reopening.

The third way the reopening will boost global liquidity is via the Fed, which was recently hawkish on account of not getting enough data to inform its next decision. A reopening would mean lots of data, which would mean clarity for the Fed. If the Supreme Court happens to move closer towards striking down Trump’s tariffs, the Fed can focus on employment - more rate cuts.

Speaking of which, many people seem to have missed the news that the Supreme Court had agreed to expedite the tariff case at Trump’s request. What this means is that the ruling won’t come sometime in the summer of 2026 as was initially expected. The ruling is now expected by the end of the year, and this is likely if the case is clear cut, which it seems to be.

This is very important to keep in mind, because many crypto and macro analysts have argued that the crypto market follows the economic cycle, specifically indicators like the ISM. These economic indicators have been flat to down, and that’s partially because of all the hurdles and uncertainty created by Trump’s tariffs. But this will change quickly if the tariffs are struck down.

To put things into perspective, the Trump administration has taken in around $200 billion from tariffs so far. These tariffs have been mostly paid by importers - by US businesses. If the tariffs are struck down, the Trump administration will need to repay this money to these businesses. This would account to a form of short-term stimulus, which should boost the economy.

Not only that, but many US businesses had previously noted that they had put their spending and hiring plans on hold until there’s clarity around tariffs. If this is the case, then the tariffs being struck down would result in more spending and hiring, which would likewise boost the economy. In turn, this would boost the crypto market, assuming the ISM correlation is correct.

And it’s worth repeating that these are all catalysts that are likely to occur in the coming weeks. Unfortunately, this might not help the crypto market get out of the woods in the coming days. Fortunately, this means that there is at least light at the end of the tunnel. Some would say that at this point, the real question is how many people will have survived this brutal journey.

In sum then, the crypto market is looking weak, and could continue to grind lower in the coming days, but if recent history repeats, the worst should be over, and the second half of this month is looking much better. Let’s just hope those catalysts actually manage to affect crypto prices.

🤖 Robotics Meta 🤖

Last week, Palo Alto-based robotics company 1X Technologies opened preorders for its humanoid robot, NEO. The launch video advertised NEO as a household assistant, handling everyday tasks like folding laundry, taking out trash, and even learning new skills through AI integration. The device, available at a price of $20,000 for purchase or $499/month for rent, targeted early adopters in the US, with deliveries slated for 2026.

On the face of it, this seemed to mark a major milestone for consumer robotics, with some even calling it the ‘ChatGPT’ moment for the sector. Crypto x robotics coins saw a massive pump off the announcement too. After all, who doesn’t like a walking, talking, robot friend?

Well, sadly, as the saying goes – all that glitters isn’t gold. Independent reviews and demonstrations have since revealed that NEO isn’t as ‘autonomous’ as advertised. In fact, NEO's demos, including the viral launch video, were almost entirely teleoperated (i.e., NEO was controlled remotely by humans in VR headsets).

In a WSJ hands-on test, journalist Joanna Stern found NEO unable to perform any task independently; fetching a water bottle took over a minute with human guidance, and folding a shirt required several minutes of intervention. Only basic actions like opening doors were autonomously executed by NEO. But, as 1X CEO Bernt Børnich reveals, even that fails roughly 10% of the time in real homes.

Obviously, while it’s still impressive, teleoperation isn’t nearly as exciting as autonomous sentient metal beings. To put it simply, NEO is mostly just a puppet. This is mostly why most crypto robotics coins that pumped after the NEO launch announcement have almost completely retraced the move.

The bright side is that NEO is a puppet for training future models. 1X has acknowledged that initial units will require user input and remote support to refine behaviours. However, as NEO gathers real-world data, 1X claims autonomy will improve, potentially reducing human intervention over time. This phased approach aims to build a dataset for broader AI scaling. So, while your crypto x robotics coins aren’t going to go parabolic just yet, it also doesn’t spell doom for the narrative.

In fact, if anything it strengthens the long-term bull case for these projects. After all, most of these coins are focused on decentralised data collection for robotics – which is the bottleneck plaguing the 1x NEO. Not only do they collect data from diversified sources, they also make it much cheaper to collect.

For instance, projects like GEODNET are focused on collecting spatial awareness data. This will help power autonomous robots, such as delivery drones and self-driving vehicles which require sub-centimeter positioning accuracy to operate safely and efficiently. GEODNET leverages DePIN economics to incentivise independent operators to install RTK (Real-Time Kinematics) base stations and contribute correction data in exchange for token rewards.

Frodobots is another crypto robotics pioneer that has gamified the process of data collection. Notably, the Frodobots team sells teleoperated rovers that offer token rewards to users. The core idea is to capture video data as users drive these rovers around the neighbourhood and build the most valuable dataset in the world for training sidewalk robots.

Reborn, a full-stack decentralised physical AI (DePAI) platform, has also sold over 5,000 units of its consumer-grade motion capture device. Notably, the device incentivises users to generate multimodal data through AR/VR gaming and livestreaming – which will help hardware leaders like Unitree, Swiss-Mile, and Agile Robots to pilot commercial applications.

Beyond data collection, there are countless more projects working on building the onchain coordination and value exchange layer for these robots. Some of the more notable ones include peaq (enables robots to autonomously transact, verify identities and pay for services) and Codec Flow (AI automation layer on Solana for executing on-chain tasks via robotics and agents). Overall, the crypto x robotics meta is a long-term play – it might take another cycle or two to see a real multi-billion dollar parabolic run for this narrative.

But, in the meantime, we’re sure to see multiple speculative pumps as humanity inches closer to finding a commercially viable robotics product. For example, Cartwheel Robotics’ ‘Yogi’ humanoid robot focuses on emotional connections. What if we saw something similar - a humanoid robot that focuses on using voice conversations to interact and provide companionship? We reckon that would be popular. After all, some people use ChatGPT for the same purpose.

Until then, stack those robocoin bags with caution and don’t expect a parabolic run just yet.

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🔮 Video Pipeline 🔮

* ISM Cycle Extension: Could this market cycle extend into 2026?
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* Ethereum’s Fusaka Upgrade: The 12 tech upgrades deployed & how ETH could rally!
* Top 5 Perp DEX’s: Our five favourites revealed!
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🏆 What's New at CoinBureau.com This Week? 🏆

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📖 Quote of the Week 📖

"A pessimist sees difficulty in every opportunity. The optimist sees opportunity in every difficulty" - Winston Churchill

Team Coin Bureau

Disclosure: Authors may own cryptoassets named in this newsletter. These are unqualified opinions, and a Coin Bureau newsletter, is meant for informational purposes only. It is not meant to serve as investment advice. Please consult with your investment, tax, or legal advisor.